11/17/09 $ES_F Probability Analysis
on Nov 17, 2009Hey guys,Please see the above chart for today’s probabilities. I will have the updated stats based on two weeks coming soon.Good luck!

11/16/09 $ES_F Probabilities
on Nov 16, 2009Good morning everyone,I apologize for the lack of updated last week, but final exams start in two weeks, so it’s crunch time around here. That means very minimal time watching intraday action, reviewing charts, updating the blog and posting tweets...

$ES_F 11/11/09 Probabilities!
on Nov 11, 2009Good morning everyone,I apologize for not updating the probabilities last night, but I had a long night of studying yesterday. Exams are less than a month away, so it’s crunch time!OK, here are the probabilities for today with 22.44% volatility @...

$ES_F 11/10/09 Probabilities
on Nov 9, 2009Good afternoon,Today was the first time the highest probability percentage was not touched. It was the daily pivot @ 1063.75 with over a 90% chance of touching. Up until this time I have only calculated the pivot probabilities, but as we all know,...

Week 1 $ES_F Probability Analysis Results
on Nov 8, 2009Good afternoon,Hope everyone has had an enjoyable weekend and will continue to do so. Posted above are the initial results for my ES probability analysis. The results speak for themselves, so please review the above screenshot to understand my data...

11/09/09 $ES_F Probabilities
on Nov 8, 2009Here are the probabilities of the ES touching certain price levels at some point on 11/09/09. using 24.31% volatility:1036.25 = 20.35%1050.00 = 49.47%1058.25 = 73.83%1059.00 = 76.21%1063.75 = 91.72%1072.00 = 80.75%1077.50 = 63.50%1091.25 = 29.58%Base...

$ES_F Probability Analysis for 11/05/09
on Nov 5, 2009Good evening everyone,I apologize for the minimal update tonight, but I’m currently in New Orleans celebrating my birthday with the family! Anyway, additional charting and analysis should resume on Thursday.As for Wed’s probabilities, they were q...

$ES_F Fibs and Probabilities, 11/06/09
on Nov 5, 2009Good evening everyone,I appreciate the birthday wishes! It was actually on November 3, but I couldn’t go down to NOLA until Wed.... anyway, back in BR and ready for Friday’s action!Here are answers to some of your questions:Q: Are the probs good...

$ES_F Probabilities & Chartin’ for 11/04/09
on Nov 3, 2009Good evening everyone,Today was a very interesting trading day indeed. The ES gapped down about 5 points, then proceeded to fill the gap, then touch the prior day’s pivot. I posted a 90% probability that the ES would touch the 1041 area today, an...

$ES_F Probabilities and Fib work for 11/03/09
on Nov 2, 2009Good afternoon,A quick update before I head over to watch the Who Dats whoop the Dirty Birds tonight....Today, the Fib retracements worked their magic again as the 62% level held and the downside 100% target of 1026 was tagged and bagged. The next d...